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commercial property trends

64% living paycheck to paycheck; what is the real estate impact?

  • May 15, 2023

  The share of Americans who say they live paycheck-to-paycheck climbed last year, and most of the new arrivals in that category were among the country’s higher earners (greater than 100k), a new study shows.  Furthermore 24% had issues paying…

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US bank lending slumps by most on record; The fed now predicts a big change

  • May 1, 2023

US bank lending contracted by the most on record in the last two weeks of March, indicating a tightening of credit conditions in the wake of several high-profile bank collapses.  Why the sharp pullback in lending?  What does this mean…

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Banks collapse: 67% impacted, will this lead to a recession?  What about real estate values?

  • April 10, 2023

As the banking crisis unfolds, the media continues to focus on depositors and shareholders.  Although both are important, there is an even bigger issue that is not being discussed.  According to the FDIC, community banks made 67% of all commercial…

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Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

  • March 27, 2023

As a private lender, my call volume and closings the first quarter have been off the charts as borrowers fall out of more conventional products.  This trend is now playing out  with the Mortgage Credit Availability Index showing substantial tightening…

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Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

  • February 6, 2023

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in…

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Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

  • January 2, 2023

US commercial real estate prices have plunged 13% from a peak this year, the biggest drop since the global financial crisis of 2008.  What is causing the decline in commercial property prices.  Is this a blip or will the slide…

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Inflation continues hot, 100% chance of recession in 12 months, what can past cycles tell us about real estate now and in the future?

  • October 31, 2022

There is pretty much a universal theme that there will be a recession in the future.  It is like saying that it might rain sometime in the next month.  It doesn’t help you much without knowing approximately when it will…

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Back to office, ready to pick your seat? 3 traits that will identify the winners & losers

  • September 26, 2022

First, the pic above was the leading picture for a listing I looked at.  I guess they were stressing the work from home conveniences in the office😊 Unfortunately this could lead to some “interesting” conversations with coworkers.   With the back…

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Do the bears foretell a crash or a minor correction?

  • August 22, 2022

When I looked over my shoulder and saw these two fellows staring at me, it made me wonder if they were trying to tell me something.  I definitely got the hint!  I don’t think anyone would debate that real estate…

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Haircut prices surge, what does this mean for real estate prices?

  • August 8, 2022

If you haven’t gotten a haircut in a while, you are in for a surprise.  Haircut prices like many other services in the economy are experiencing large increases.  What does the increase in haircut prices mean for the economy and…

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