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if there is a recession what happens to real estate

Lending

Banks tighten lending; 46% rejection rate on mortgage loans

  • September 4, 2023

It was already difficult for businesses and households to borrow money earlier this year — but after the collapse of three US regional banks and a cascade of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, getting money has become considerably harder.…

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Rising Rates

Rising Rates increase Distressed Homeowners. Regulators have a fix.

  • July 17, 2023

I always cringe when I see a press release that “regulators” have a solution!  FHA has yet another new proposal that sounds great on the surface, but as typical misses some very important items that will cost taxpayers millions or…

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Real Estate Market

Real Estate Market continues outperforming, what time period are we beginning to resemble?

  • May 22, 2023

  Although the spring real estate market has slowed drastically from the pandemic days, the bottom has not fallen out.  Quite the opposite has occurred, in suburban markets and sunbelt cities, real estate keeps charging higher.  A good example is…

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Inflations

Inflation remains sticky, will interest rates remain high, can the fed achieve a soft landing?

  • April 24, 2023

Inflation continues to stick around with core CPI running near record highs.   This will keep the federal reserve on a likely path to hike rates once again in May.  What does this mean for interest rates and real estate?  What…

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Real Estate Value

Banks collapse: 67% impacted, will this lead to a recession?  What about real estate values?

  • April 10, 2023

As the banking crisis unfolds, the media continues to focus on depositors and shareholders.  Although both are important, there is an even bigger issue that is not being discussed.  According to the FDIC, community banks made 67% of all commercial…

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Credit Availability

Harder for Borrowers to Secure a Loan in February, Credit Availability Hits record low

  • March 27, 2023

As a private lender, my call volume and closings the first quarter have been off the charts as borrowers fall out of more conventional products.  This trend is now playing out with the Mortgage Credit Availability Index showing substantial tightening…

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Mortgage Rates

Blowout jobs report; mortgage rates to jump again; Is 8% on the horizon?

  • March 20, 2023

Wow, a few weeks ago rates had fallen from a peak of over 7% to almost 6%. Unfortunately the party was short lived as rates are now heading much higher.  The recent jobs report was another blow out upping the…

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Market Interest Rates

Mortgage demand plunges 13.2% to end 2022, are higher interest rates the only culprit

  • February 13, 2023

  The market currently has a fixation on interest rates.  Essentially whatever interest rates do the market reacts accordingly.  For example if rates rise, sales fall and vice versa.  Are rates really the driver of the slow down in real…

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Property Market

Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

  • February 6, 2023

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in…

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Commercial Property

Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

  • January 2, 2023

US commercial real estate prices have plunged 13% from a peak this year, the biggest drop since the global financial crisis of 2008.  What is causing the decline in commercial property prices.  Is this a blip or will the slide…

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    Recent Posts
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