Weinberg told Mortgage Professional America ” the July jobs report was the turning point in how I think about where the economy is heading. After months of strong headline numbers, the report showed a sudden loss and downward revisions.” After watching inflation pull...
Inflation continues to stick around with core CPI running near record highs. This will keep the federal reserve on a likely path to hike rates once again in May. What does this mean for interest rates and real estate? What happens when interest rates finally...
It will get much worse for the housing market and the mortgage industry. That’s the takeaway from a group of economists at Fannie Mae who slashed their forecast for 2022 home sales this week. Federal Reserve chairman Powell recently threw even more cold water on their...
As mortgage rates have easily breached 5% (last I checked they were at 5.25%), there is a drastic change in real estate that is just beginning to rear its head. At the same time inventory is starting to increase and loan volumes have plummeted. What is the big...
We are in an interesting economic cycle. In the last recession, house prices plummeted up to 60% in some areas. We currently hit the highest unemployment rate since the great depression yet house prices continue to appreciate. This is exactly the opposite of what...
First, I hope everyone is doing okay with everything going on. As many banks and other lenders pull back thru the pandemic and the mortgage rate increase we are still funding. We fund and hold all of our loans in cash without leverage so we will continue to...
The picture above is a bit more relaxing to look at as opposed to the media barrage of the coronavirus and stock market (do you know where I took the pic, hint in CO, email me if you know). The Coronavirus has caused stock markets around the world to quickly sell off...
I’ve mentioned many times that house flipping is getting a little “long in the tooth”. This week I was featured in BusinessWeek/Bloomberg on this topic ( great article here is the link in case you missed it). Nationwide flipping has grown exponentially....
The Federal housing administration over the last several years has been quietly easing the lending standards to increase home ownership. Montgomery, the director of the FHA, did an abrupt change this month tightening standards “to maintain a better balance of...
Why would a truck rental company provide a list of the top real estate markets to invest in? Penske, the truck rental company, revealed the top 10 moving destinations in the country. They have been compiling the list since 2010 to track one-way rentals to cities...
In the fall of 2006 my wife, a high school teacher, left for school in a small sleepy town SW of Denver. Shortly after school began shots rang out and a hostage situation ensued (See Article). At the end of the day one student and the gunmen was dead. This all...
As the government shutdown continues to drag on, how is commercial and residential real estate being impacted? What does Vail resorts, the largest owner of ski resorts in the country, have to do with the government shutdown. How are existing property owners...
With 2019 coming quickly it is time for my annual real estate predictions. 2019 is shaping up to be considerably more exciting than 2018! The main economic drivers in 2019 will be the pace of rate increases from the federal reserve, market volatility, the ongoing...
Contract signings to purchase previously-owned U.S. homes unexpectedly fell by the most since January, reaching the lowest level since mid-2014 amid mounting evidence that the housing market is struggling. New homes sales also tumbled 8.9% in October. On the...
As Thanksgiving week begins, there was a surprising economic report just released. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropped eight points in November to 60, according to a report Monday. That compared with the median estimate...
For anyone watching the markets, it has been quite the ride. I’m feeling a bit seasick from all the motion taking place in the markets! Stocks plummet then come roaring back all within the same day. What is going on? As stocks are swooning so are 10-year treasuries...
President Donald Trump said he expected Jerome Powell to be a cheap-money Fed chairman and lamented to wealthy Republican donors at a Hamptons fundraiser on Friday that his nominee instead had raised interest rates, according to people present. This is his most...
Is the bond market or federal reserve correct on the future of interest rates? Beyond 2019 there is huge disagreement. The Federal reserve has relayed that future tightening will continue, but the markets aren’t buying it. The bond market is predicting that a rate...
The Federal reserve in their recent Report on Economic Well being made two very concerning discoveries: 1) 40% of all adults if faced with an unexpected expense of $400 would not be able to cover it 2) 25% of all adults are not able to pay all of their current...
Ready to start your engines for the summer driving season? Will our cars lead us into the next recession? Although auto sales declined substantially this year, the real story is that the subprime bubble in auto lending is now showing cracks. How will this impact...
We’ve all heard the predictions for 2017, rates will be X, employment will be Y, the sky will be blue, but also might fall depending on 18 different variables from armchair economists. What should you believe and what should you do? I had a crash course in 2017...
I saw a surprising announcement yesterday that the largest residential real estate company was starting a mortgage arm. This mortgage arm will work closely with its realtors throughout the country to provide a “one stop shop” for home buyers. What does this mean...
When high end markets fall, what does it mean for you? I think most real estate pros would agree that the recent run up in prices in many areas throughout the country is concerning. Are there leading indicators of what could be to come? Aspen is down 42...
Let it float! I’m talking about rates that is. Why would anyone not lock in a mortgage at these historically low rates. It is a foregone conclusion that rates will increase in December (more than 80% of economists feel a hike will occur: WSJ). With such strong...
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