IRS data show that taxpayers keep fleeing high tax states; should you follow the wealthy residents with your real estate investing? Is the sudden shift in residents to lower cost states a blip or a new trend? Take a look at the two charts below, what is the...
At the beginning of the year, the consensus was that rates would fall below 6%, fast forward and rates are now at or close to 7% with the 10 year treasury surging to a 19 year high. At the same time the real estate market is like two stuck bulls with neither buyers...
We have all used Kelly blue book values to see car values, now KBB is getting into the house business creating a “blue book” value for your house. How accurate is the new KBB value? How is this different than the Zestimate; realtor.com estimate, or any other...
The real estate market has rapidly changed. The number of owners who are underwater is small but growing, and they have recently been concentrated in pandemic boomtowns such as Austin, Texas, Cape Coral, Fla and Denver, CO. A rapid rise in prices in these...
In a controversial ruling the Supreme court made a groundbreaking ruling on property rights that has implications for property owners throughout the country. The ruling regarded tax liens and answers the question of whether a city can “seize” a property for unpaid...
As I was hiking with my family almost at treeline in Colorado, one of my dogs suddenly went on point. To our surprise there was a brown bear sauntering through the field (sorry looks like a brown sheep as we are a good distance away on a ridge). In 30 years we...
With rising insurance costs and litigation HOAs across the country are coming under pressure financially. This is leading to more HOAs declaring bankruptcy. Why is a recent lawsuit against an HOA so important? What does this mean for property owners? What are the...
Many don’t know but the overwhelming majority of all loans originated are ultimately sold to governments sponsored entities like Fannie or Freddie that package the loans and sell as mortgage backed securities. This means that whatever Fannie and Freddie...
During the Covid real estate boom everything with 4 walls took off in price. Are these price gains sustainable? Will real estate fall back to Covid values, wiping out huge gains in real estate prices? Have prices already adjusted to pre covid levels in some...
The May inflation report is in, rising to the highest level in 3 years. Look at the chart above, out of nowhere yields have surged to almost 20-year highs and predictions exceeding 6%. The market is suddenly catching on that we have an inflation...
Rents have made a quick U turn. After rising substantially over the last decade, they are quickly reversing course. Why are rents now falling? Is this just a trend or a blip. Look at the chart below, how does this alter the predictions on rents? ...
Look at this chart above, out of nowhere yields have made a U-turn with long term treasury yields surge to almost 20-year highs and predictions exceeding 6%. This is exactly the opposite of what economists had predicted at the beginning of the...
Recently Realtor.com and Zillow have been promoting “risk scores” for properties to reflect environmental risk from fires and floods. These new scores are radically altering real estate prices. What is included in the new scores? Are you impacted? How accurate...
Over the last 30+ years it has historically been more expensive to live inside a city versus the suburbs. The demand for urban living was huge over the last 20 years. This narrative is now changing with the suburbs in many major cities poised to overtake urban...
There has been considerable talk about stagflation now mirroring the 70s with high energy prices and low growth. Recently, all the data seemed to be pointing in this direction other than one metric. The economy keeps growing exceeding pretty much every...
Every major economist is predicting real estate prices remaining flat to falling modestly in 2026. How accurate are these predictions? Is there a scenario where prices buck every prediction and rise later this year? A prior survey shows a radically different...
As I was walking on a snow covered trail, I found a blaze orange sweatshirt. WTF, who loses something like this and doesn’t even notice? It made me start thinking, has the person lost their mind? Has the economy lost its mind? Look at three charts below: Gold,...
The pandemic turned the real estate market upside down with real estate values surging throughout the country. With values rising everywhere, everyone seemed like a winner. Unfortunately, the boom town days are coming to an end. Real Estate fundamentals or lack...
Does anyone else find it a bit ironic that the US government gave away 4.6 trillion including direct payments to individuals and yet the number of subprime borrowers has surpassed precovid levels. Why are more borrowers now classified as subprime and what does...
Atlanta is the epicenter of a national surge in rental-application fraud where nearly half of rental applications contain fraudulent information. The applicants are targeting high end apartments throughout the city. Why is Atlanta the epicenter of the fraud? What...
A new push by states to tax the real estate of the wealthy is going nationwide with cities across the country looking at expensive second homes as the gold mine to solve all their social problems. What is the new “Taylor Swift Tax”? What are some of the new proposals...
There is a new proposal to develop a 50 year loan product to “turbocharge” the housing market and make it more affordable. How realistic is this proposal? What would a 50 year mortgage look like for consumers? What is the fundamental flaw in the analysis by the...
Although all eyes and media coverage was on the supposed “blue wave” on election day, the real story are the huge changes in property rights throughout the Country. Did Nantucket vote to continue an effective ban on nightly rentals? Did Vail pass a 17% tax on...
Look at the chart above, there is a direct correlation between heavy truck sales and GDP growth which is one of the best indicators for the health of the economy. As you can see heavy truck sales plummeted, which points to a recession. On the flip...
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