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“this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds,  75% probability you are wrong

“this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds, 75% probability you are wrong

  • February 2, 2021
  • General real estate financing information

There has been a flurry of good news with stocks reaching records, talks of more stimulus, and vaccines rolling out.  Small stocks like Gamestop and AMC have been off the charts minting new millionaires every day.   What does all…

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Treasury yields jump to highest since March. What does the GA senate race mean for real estate?

Treasury yields jump to highest since March. What does the GA senate race mean for real estate?

  • January 6, 2021
  • Atlanta Hard Money

Happy new year to everyone. It is crazy that we are still talking about the election … it seems like it is never ending.  Fortunately the Georgia senate runoffs were the last of this cycle.  As Georgia flipped Democratic, treasury…

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CoStar buys Homesnap: Why this reshapes residential real estate

CoStar buys Homesnap: Why this reshapes residential real estate

  • December 29, 2020
  • Housing Price Trends / Information

I was amazed that there hasn’t been much fanfare about Costar’s recent purchase.  Costar is the largest commercial property data company (Loopnet, Costar, Apartment.com, etc…)  with a market cap of 35 billion dollars.  The Homesnap purchase is an indicator of…

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2021 real estate predictions:  What happens to residential and commercial values and interest rates

2021 real estate predictions: What happens to residential and commercial values and interest rates

  • December 22, 2020
  • interest rates

What a year 2020 has been!  The pandemic struck, unemployment has hit records, there was a nice rebound in the summer, and recently a downward trend due to the spike in Coronavirus cases.  What does 2021 hold for the economy,…

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Yellen appointed to the Treasury, impact on real estate

Yellen appointed to the Treasury, impact on real estate

  • December 2, 2020
  • Colorado Hard Money

President-elect Joe Biden nominated former Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen, the prior head of the Federal Reserve, to become the next Treasury secretary. The “market” loved the pick, should you?  What does a Yellen pick for treasury mean for interest…

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841 billion in forbearance, who will be left holding the bag? Will 2020 be a 2008 repeat?

841 billion in forbearance, who will be left holding the bag? Will 2020 be a 2008 repeat?

  • November 11, 2020
  • hard money

Almost 10% of all government sponsored mortgages entered mortgage forbearance which accounts for almost 841 billion dollars in loans.  4 in 5 workers say they live paycheck to paycheck, with around 30 million people unemployed, the numbers could be daunting.…

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What does the election mean for real estate? 5 impacts

What does the election mean for real estate? 5 impacts

  • November 4, 2020
  • News

The pic above has nothing to do with the election, but this bear was about 10 feet from me when I was doing a zoom call on the back deck.  I didn’t notice him until the meeting participants eyes got…

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Commercial just getting started, 48% drop in value

Commercial just getting started, 48% drop in value

  • October 30, 2020
  • commercial hard money

It is ironic in 2007 and 2008, I was asked by our accountant to value properties and loans on our books due to the last cycle.  I told her I had no clue, there were too many unknowns.  Commercial real…

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Should appraised value be arbitrary?  Is location important in value?

Should appraised value be arbitrary?  Is location important in value?

  • September 30, 2020
  • Property Valuation

There is a new legislative proposal to radically alter the appraisal industry.  Should the use of comparables be arbitrary when establishing appraised value?  Do appraisers need to better “appreciate” a neighborhood (what does this even mean?)  Should an appraiser use…

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Will interest rates stay low forever?  What did the fed just announce?

Will interest rates stay low forever?  What did the fed just announce?

  • September 15, 2020
  • interest rates

If you have been tracking interest rates in the mortgage market, your head is likely spinning.  Mortgage rates hit a record low of 3% less than a week later rates have risen again.  What is causing the drastic swings? Is…

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    • Biden halts foreclosures for 18 months, house prices up; no impact on “credit score”, but can’t get credit?
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    • “this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds, 75% probability you are wrong
    • Work from home impact on real estate values; pay cuts coming, 75% want to return

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