The real estate market has drastically shifted. Look at the chart above, sellers are rapidly outpacing buyers which means only one thing; the law of economics will rule, and prices will fall. What is causing prices to fall now in many markets, and will this...
Hard Money Commercial Lending
Is real estate “stuck” until 2026?
"The U.S. housing market is stuck, and we are not convinced it will become unstuck anytime soon," Bank of America economists Michael Gapen and Jeseo Park wrote in the Monday note. What is causing the real estate market to be stuck? Is being stuck actually the...
Consolidation in the mortgage industry hits overdrive, what does this mean for you?
Rocket Mortgage announced the acquisition of Mr. Cooper mortgage, the largest loan servicer in the US, which will now service 2.1 trillion dollars in loans and the combined company will have access to over 10 million combined clients. Will this lead to a 2/3...
One of most controversial property tax measure in the country passed
This newest property tax measure that passed has been deemed the most controversial in the US. What was in the new measure? What state (hint it wasn't a far right or left state)passed a controversial law to protect private property rights by...
Happy Thanksgiving 2024: year of the Bear
As everyone departs for the Thanksgiving holiday, I wanted to wish you safe travels and a happy holiday season. Although it has been a challenging year for many in real estate due to much higher interest rates than anticipated and much lower sales volumes, there is...
Who is better for real estate Harris or Trump ?
Wow, it is amazing how quickly tides have changed. Look at the chart above of the betting market on the next presidential election right after the assassination attempt. Fast forward and another twist happened over the weekend with President Biden stepping...
Cyberattack stops all real estate closings in one large city
It is crazy how far technologically we have come, but at the same time how fragile our infrastructure is. On of the largest cities in Atlanta (Fulton County) recently had a cyber “incident” which shut down the city and halted all real estate closings. This...
Is inflation really coming down?
We have heard a ton of good news recently regarding inflation. Inflation has come down dramatically from its peak and the market is pricing in almost a 100% probability of an elusive soft landing. Is inflation really coming down as fast as the consumer price index...
CPI falls, Fed likely done raising
What does the recent CPI fall mean for mortgage rates and real estate prices? A broad slowdown in inflation continued in October, likely ending the Federal Reserve’s historic interest rate increases. The slowdown came below most median estimates and the...
Fed has lost control of interest rates
Housing industry urges Fed to stop raising rates, does it even matter? Top real estate and banking officials are calling on the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates as the industry suffers through surging housing costs and a “historic shortage” of available...
2023 real estate predictions update: Mortgage rates decline, banks fail, impact on real estate prices
A lot has changed since my year end update, four major banks have collapsed, and the market is now signaling a recession with interest rates beginning to fall. What does this mean for real estate in the second half of the year? Are there any big changes to my...
Higher credit score borrowers pay more under new government rule
No this is not a joke, I had to read the recent Fannie Mae press release multiple times to actually believe what I was reading. Who would have ever thought that someone with a high credit score above 740 would be penalized for having a high score. Under a new rule...
Ibuyers get crushed, Opendoor plunges
“Our model really works in upmarkets, it's going to work in flat markets, it's going to work in downmarkets,” chief financial officer Carrie Wheeler told analysts just 6 short months ago. Unfortunately today this statement could not be further from the truth. ...
30 year fixed crosses 7%, is this the real story? Prices fall first time in 10 years.
A few weeks ago, the big news was 6% rates and now everyone suddenly woke up with stocks crashing and yields soaring to new highs and rates jumping again. What does this mean in the short term for interest rates? Is focusing on the 30 year mortgage rate the correct...
Fannie-Mae-sees-dark-days-ahead-for-the-housing-market;
It will get much worse for the housing market and the mortgage industry. That’s the takeaway from a group of economists at Fannie Mae who slashed their forecast for 2022 home sales this week. Federal Reserve chairman Powell recently threw even more cold water on their...
Ready for a 30% drop in housing demand? Will tight supply really prop up the market?
The federal reserve did an analysis of what has led to the surge in housing prices and has a conclusive answer; the driver of high prices is not that we don’t have enough houses as the media has been claiming. What is the real culprit behind soaring prices? Is there...
This chart should scare you; is the mortgage market in for a 2008 wreck; average down not even close to 20%
The federal government in their quest to shore up the mortgage market in 2008 has created some new risks to the housing market. Non bank lenders now make up 74% of the origination volume with only 3 banks even making the list. What does this mean for the mortgage...
Fed hits brakes hard, largest increase since 94, Mortgage rates surge 6.3%, not all real estate is impacted equally
All I can say is wow. On a dime, the real estate market changed overnight. I was predicting mortgage rates around 6% over the course of the year. The change happened in one day with rates easily cresting 6.3%! What does this big surge in interest rates mean to real...
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market.
Redfin plunges 26% in one day and foreshadows 4 trends shaping the 2022 and beyond real estate market. Redfin, the darling of the real estate market the last several years has plunged 45% over the last year. At the same time numerous analysists are downgrading the...
83% of investors are worried about two items that will impact real estate
Wall Street investors believe inflation will remain a major roadblock for the markets in 2022 and stocks will only see muted returns, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. What does this mean for interest rates and in turn real estate? What was...
2022 Realtor predictions on interest rates & appreciation
The National Association of Realtors just released their 2022 housing market report. What are their predictions on mortgage rates, appreciation rates, rental rates, and location of purchases? There are a couple of surprises in the data that could radically alter...
Done with the pandemic toilet paper, Peloton plunges, what does this mean for real estate?
Wow, it has been a wild ride during this pandemic, who thought there would be a national run on toilet paper. Fortunately, those days are over. You can now readily pick up Charmin (or whatever you like). The market is also starting to witness this transformation...
Investors purchase record number of homes, what does this mean for values?
Real estate investors spent a record $63.6 billion to purchase homes in the third quarter, up 78% from a year earlier, with an intense housing shortage fueling their returns, according to a Redfin report published on Monday. “Investors are expecting rents to increase...
Will inflation increase real estate prices? Is this cycle different?
In my blogs I have talked about how typically when we have large inflation this will drastically slow the real estate market as interest rates rise. With all the craziness from the Covid bump occurring could just the opposite occur? Will inflation actually increase...
























