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Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different

  • February 6, 2023

I rarely say that Covid caused radical changes in behavior but the commercial property sector is bucking this trend.  This is not because of return to office or lack thereof, but leverage and the central bank.  In every cycle in…

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Proposal for National rent control, what does this mean for prices and supply, why are rents increasing

  • January 30, 2023

It is no secret that rent has skyrocketed throughout the country.  Nationally rental growth peaked at 17.45% year over year in March of 2022.  Some markets like NY and FL have exceeded over 31% rent growth annually. What are the…

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30 year mortgage rates plummet, will they return to pandemic lows

  • January 9, 2023

It has been a wild ride in the treasury market.  Rates spiked to 7.5%, but recently have plummeted back to below 6%? Now they are rising again.  What does this mean for real estate sales?  Will the lower rates be…

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2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

  • December 26, 2022

I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season.  Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2023 and beyond: Interest rates, inflation, and consumer…

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Year of the Bear, are you ready for 2023 and a 20% decline, what happens to interest rates, economy, etc…   

  • December 5, 2022

Since Covid it seems like traditional patterns have been broken.  I hear time and time again that X or Y is different and there have been fundamental changes. Is this true, is everything “radically” different now?  Is a bear walking…

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Consumer debt soars to the highest on record, why is this good and bad news for real estate

  • November 21, 2022

The federal reserve bank of NY recently published a report showing consumer debt jumping to the highest levels ever recorded with every category growing from mortgages, autos, credit cards, lines of credit, etc…  Is some consumer debt better/worse than others…

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Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

  • November 14, 2022

The prevailing theory is that this real estate cycle will be considerably better than others as so many people locked in rock bottom rates which will serve as “golden handcuffs” and prevent a meaningful increase in inventory.  How accurate is…

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30 year fixed crosses 7%, is this the real story? Prices fall first time in 10 years.

  • October 17, 2022

A few weeks ago, the big news was 6% rates and now everyone suddenly woke up with stocks crashing and yields soaring to new highs and rates jumping again.  What does this mean in the short term for interest rates?…

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Fannie-Mae-sees-dark-days-ahead-for-the-housing-market; their forecast is still too rosy :<

  • October 10, 2022

It will get much worse for the housing market and the mortgage industry. That’s the takeaway from a group of economists at Fannie Mae who slashed their forecast for 2022 home sales this week. Federal Reserve chairman Powell recently threw…

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Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for the rest of 22 and 23?

  • October 3, 2022

  Home values slipped for the second consecutive month as mortgage costs continue to sideline buyers.  From June through August, prices usually decline about 2%, but this year they have fallen about 6%.  At the same time, mortgage rates hit…

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    Recent Posts
    • Global Property Market Faces $175 Billion Debt Spiral: This cycle is different
    • Proposal for National rent control, what does this mean for prices and supply, why are rents increasing
    • Supreme court rules against the national association of realtors, suit could rock the industry; why are pocket listings not allowed?
    • Nightly rental market following in footsteps of Colorado Pot market
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