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“this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds,  75% probability you are wrong

“this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds, 75% probability you are wrong

  • February 2, 2021
  • General real estate financing information

There has been a flurry of good news with stocks reaching records, talks of more stimulus, and vaccines rolling out.  Small stocks like Gamestop and AMC have been off the charts minting new millionaires every day.   What does all…

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2 out of 3 loans approved in 2019 would be turned down today, mortgage lenders tighten the screws

2 out of 3 loans approved in 2019 would be turned down today, mortgage lenders tighten the screws

  • October 6, 2020
  • credit scoring

The Urban Institute think tank says nearly two out of three loans made in 2019 would fail to meet at least one of the stricter standards  lenders have imposed since March. Banks are tripping over themselves to be the first…

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Mortgage rates should be lower costing you 60k over the life of your loan

Mortgage rates should be lower costing you 60k over the life of your loan

  • August 19, 2020
  • interest rates

The mortgage market is an interesting animal.  Long term mortgage rates traditionally track the 10 year treasury and historically trade in a very narrow band, approximately one percent higher than the 10 year treasuries. This would put mortgages today in…

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Nike sales plunge 40%, Microsoft closing all their stores, What about real estate? Who will win?

Nike sales plunge 40%, Microsoft closing all their stores, What about real estate? Who will win?

  • July 7, 2020
  • commercial hard money

Nike is a bellwether for the retail industry and general economy generating over 40 billion in annual revenue making it one of the largest athletic retailers in the world.  Since 2006 revenue has consistently increased every year.  In June, Nike…

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V-shaped recovery? 106 million people say No.

V-shaped recovery? 106 million people say No.

  • June 24, 2020
  • interest rates

The stock market has been pricing in a fast and rapid V-shaped recovery, yet 106 million people and various businesses like United Airlines are painting a radically different picture.  As Alan Greenspan, the former fed chief, famously said: markets can…

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Did the fed accidentally trigger a housing market crash?

Did the fed accidentally trigger a housing market crash?

  • May 7, 2020
  • commercial hard money

I hope everyone is doing well in light of the recent events. I was recently asked: “Did the Federal Reserve trigger a housing market crash?” What happened?  The Coronavirus struck, the fed had to act swiftly to mitigate the damage,…

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Coronavirus lending 101: What do you need to know to get funding

Coronavirus lending 101: What do you need to know to get funding

  • March 29, 2020
  • Coronavirus 2020 real estate impact

The Coronavirus pandemic has thrown the economy off a cliff leaving many equity rich property owners with no cash flow.  The pandemic has caused many residential and commercial tenants to defer or totally miss payments as the economy shuts down. …

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Mortgage rate increase, still funding in cash

Mortgage rate increase, still funding in cash

  • March 13, 2020
  • General real estate financing information

  First,  I hope everyone is doing okay with everything going on.   As many banks and other lenders pull back thru the pandemic and the mortgage rate increase we are still funding. We fund and hold all of our loans…

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60% chance mortgage rates plunge: The fed disagrees!

60% chance mortgage rates plunge: The fed disagrees!

  • February 25, 2020
  • interest rates

We are at an interesting crossroads in the economy.  The Federal Reserve and economic data show that the economy is very strong with consumer spending and confidence at all-time highs. At the same time the bond market is portraying a…

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How to Invest in ski real estate:  Are you a Costco or Walmart real estate investor?

How to Invest in ski real estate:  Are you a Costco or Walmart real estate investor?

  • February 19, 2020
  • CO hard money

    It is ski time in the Rocky Mountains with over 250 inches in many of the resort communities.  Do you know where the picture was taken (hint it is a “Costco” resort, email me if you know)?  Although…

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    • “this time is different” Vaccines rollout, good news abounds, 75% probability you are wrong
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