Hard Money Blog

Is credit score useless to determine risk

Is credit score useless to determine risk

    Last week I asked all of you: Is the credit score a useless tool to determine risk?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (66%) think that the credit score is not the best tool to determine risk, while 34% still think that the credit...

read more
Is your credit score useless

Is your credit score useless

  I recently looked at two loan files, one had a 650 and one had a 750, which one was actually a riskier borrower (not the one with the higher score)? How can you now easily inflate your credit score?  Is the score now useless?  Why the huge changes in credit...

read more
What happens to mortgage rates the rest of the year

What happens to mortgage rates the rest of the year

    Last week I asked all of you where will interest rates be at the end of 2026?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (85%) that rates will stay about where they are at or head a little higher.  Take a look at the chart below of interest...

read more
Interest rates jump again, are they going to decline?

Interest rates jump again, are they going to decline?

  It seems like all the economists are surprised that inflation continues at elevated levels and suddenly the market is in a panic about higher inflation.    Am I the only one in the world that buys groceries, fills up my gas tank, goes out to eat, etc… Anyone...

read more
insurance rates skyrocket, does NY have the answer?

insurance rates skyrocket, does NY have the answer?

  When I saw the headlines about NY reducing property insurance rates I was definitely intrigued.  How can NY reduce property insurance rates 30% overnight while the rest of the country is facing double digit increases year over year?  What is New York's  secret?...

read more
Should mortgage lenders accept Crypto?

Should mortgage lenders accept Crypto?

New government rules allow Crypto to be used for mortgage collateral.  At the same time Crypto just hit its lows for the year plunging 52% over the last year while the S&P return is about + 24%.  Should lenders accept crypto for mortgages?  How does this impact...

read more
Rents plummet, is this a trend or blip?

Rents plummet, is this a trend or blip?

    Rents have made a quick U turn.  After rising substantially over the last decade, they are quickly reversing course.  Why are rents now falling?  Is this just a trend or a blip.  Look at the chart below, how does this alter the predictions on rents? ...

read more
What happens to interest rates the rest of the year

What happens to interest rates the rest of the year

      Last week I asked all of you what happens to mortgage rates based on recent events?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (70%) that rates will stay about where they are at or head a little higher.  I was most surprised at how...

read more
Rates make a u turn; should you panic?

Rates make a u turn; should you panic?

      Look at this chart above, out of nowhere yields have made a U-turn with long term treasury yields surge to almost 20-year highs and predictions exceeding 6%.  This is exactly the opposite of what economists had predicted at the beginning of the...

read more
New flood and fire risk scores radically alter values

New flood and fire risk scores radically alter values

  Recently Realtor.com and Zillow have been promoting “risk scores” for properties to reflect environmental risk from fires and floods.  These new scores are radically altering real estate prices. What is included in the new scores? Are you impacted? How accurate...

read more
What is hiding in the real estate market?

What is hiding in the real estate market?

The housing market has a multi-billion dollar problem that nobody is talking about.  Since the last recession economists harp on the fact that underwriting is so much better now than it was leading up to 2008.  This is correct except for one lender, the federal...

read more
More expensive to live outside a city than in a city

More expensive to live outside a city than in a city

Over the last 30+ years it has historically been more expensive to live inside a city versus the suburbs.  The demand for urban living was huge over the last 20 years.  This narrative is now changing with the suburbs in many major cities poised to overtake urban...

read more
Zillow stock plunges: impact on real estate

Zillow stock plunges: impact on real estate

    Zillow’s stock has plunged, losing 65% of its value over the last 5 years.  To put this in perspective, the Nasdaq 100 has doubled during this same period.  Why is Zillow, who was once an internet darling, now falling precipitously?  What does this mean...

read more
Is Stagflation dead, what happens now

Is Stagflation dead, what happens now

    There has been considerable talk about stagflation now mirroring the 70s with high energy prices and low growth.  Recently, all the data seemed to be pointing in this direction other than one metric.  The economy keeps growing exceeding pretty much every...

read more
Big changes to how real estate is bought and sold

Big changes to how real estate is bought and sold

    Like many of you, I hate it when I see headlines like above and am always a bit skeptical.  Real estate has basically operated pretty much the same way for the last 20 years or so without any real structural changes, but a recent lawsuit against Zillow...

read more
Is this the perfect storm for housing

Is this the perfect storm for housing

  In case you missed it, I was recently quoted in a Mortgage Professional America article: Is this the perfect storm for housing.  It is a great article focusing on the impact of interest rates, consumer confidence, etc.. on the spring housing season that is now...

read more

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Is credit score useless to determine risk

Is credit score useless to determine risk

    Last week I asked all of you: Is the credit score a useless tool to determine risk?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (66%) think that the credit score is not the best tool to determine risk, while 34% still think that the credit...

read more
Is your credit score useless

Is your credit score useless

  I recently looked at two loan files, one had a 650 and one had a 750, which one was actually a riskier borrower (not the one with the higher score)? How can you now easily inflate your credit score?  Is the score now useless?  Why the huge changes in credit...

read more
What happens to mortgage rates the rest of the year

What happens to mortgage rates the rest of the year

    Last week I asked all of you where will interest rates be at the end of 2026?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (85%) that rates will stay about where they are at or head a little higher.  Take a look at the chart below of interest...

read more
Interest rates jump again, are they going to decline?

Interest rates jump again, are they going to decline?

  It seems like all the economists are surprised that inflation continues at elevated levels and suddenly the market is in a panic about higher inflation.    Am I the only one in the world that buys groceries, fills up my gas tank, goes out to eat, etc… Anyone...

read more
insurance rates skyrocket, does NY have the answer?

insurance rates skyrocket, does NY have the answer?

  When I saw the headlines about NY reducing property insurance rates I was definitely intrigued.  How can NY reduce property insurance rates 30% overnight while the rest of the country is facing double digit increases year over year?  What is New York's  secret?...

read more
Should mortgage lenders accept Crypto?

Should mortgage lenders accept Crypto?

New government rules allow Crypto to be used for mortgage collateral.  At the same time Crypto just hit its lows for the year plunging 52% over the last year while the S&P return is about + 24%.  Should lenders accept crypto for mortgages?  How does this impact...

read more
Rents plummet, is this a trend or blip?

Rents plummet, is this a trend or blip?

    Rents have made a quick U turn.  After rising substantially over the last decade, they are quickly reversing course.  Why are rents now falling?  Is this just a trend or a blip.  Look at the chart below, how does this alter the predictions on rents? ...

read more
What happens to interest rates the rest of the year

What happens to interest rates the rest of the year

      Last week I asked all of you what happens to mortgage rates based on recent events?  The real estate pros have spoken, the majority think (70%) that rates will stay about where they are at or head a little higher.  I was most surprised at how...

read more
Rates make a u turn; should you panic?

Rates make a u turn; should you panic?

      Look at this chart above, out of nowhere yields have made a U-turn with long term treasury yields surge to almost 20-year highs and predictions exceeding 6%.  This is exactly the opposite of what economists had predicted at the beginning of the...

read more
New flood and fire risk scores radically alter values

New flood and fire risk scores radically alter values

  Recently Realtor.com and Zillow have been promoting “risk scores” for properties to reflect environmental risk from fires and floods.  These new scores are radically altering real estate prices. What is included in the new scores? Are you impacted? How accurate...

read more
What is hiding in the real estate market?

What is hiding in the real estate market?

The housing market has a multi-billion dollar problem that nobody is talking about.  Since the last recession economists harp on the fact that underwriting is so much better now than it was leading up to 2008.  This is correct except for one lender, the federal...

read more
More expensive to live outside a city than in a city

More expensive to live outside a city than in a city

Over the last 30+ years it has historically been more expensive to live inside a city versus the suburbs.  The demand for urban living was huge over the last 20 years.  This narrative is now changing with the suburbs in many major cities poised to overtake urban...

read more
Zillow stock plunges: impact on real estate

Zillow stock plunges: impact on real estate

    Zillow’s stock has plunged, losing 65% of its value over the last 5 years.  To put this in perspective, the Nasdaq 100 has doubled during this same period.  Why is Zillow, who was once an internet darling, now falling precipitously?  What does this mean...

read more
Is Stagflation dead, what happens now

Is Stagflation dead, what happens now

    There has been considerable talk about stagflation now mirroring the 70s with high energy prices and low growth.  Recently, all the data seemed to be pointing in this direction other than one metric.  The economy keeps growing exceeding pretty much every...

read more
Big changes to how real estate is bought and sold

Big changes to how real estate is bought and sold

    Like many of you, I hate it when I see headlines like above and am always a bit skeptical.  Real estate has basically operated pretty much the same way for the last 20 years or so without any real structural changes, but a recent lawsuit against Zillow...

read more
Is this the perfect storm for housing

Is this the perfect storm for housing

  In case you missed it, I was recently quoted in a Mortgage Professional America article: Is this the perfect storm for housing.  It is a great article focusing on the impact of interest rates, consumer confidence, etc.. on the spring housing season that is now...

read more

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