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General real estate financing information

Commercial Property

Commercial property prices slide 13% from peak, biggest since 08, where do prices go from here?

  • January 2, 2023

US commercial real estate prices have plunged 13% from a peak this year, the biggest drop since the global financial crisis of 2008.  What is causing the decline in commercial property prices.  Is this a blip or will the slide…

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Real Estate

2023 real estate predictions: Mortgage rates come off their highs. Does a recession happen in 23?

  • December 26, 2022

I hope everyone is having a happy holiday season.  Before getting into my predictions for next year, there are three crucial factors to discuss that will shape the real estate market in 2023 and beyond: Interest rates, inflation, and consumer…

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Real Estate

4 big changes to real estate in 2023.  Where will the opportunities be?

  • December 19, 2022

There is definitely allot of doom and gloom heading into 23 with interest rates double their lows, inventory increasing, and prices coming off their highs. In every cycle there will be winners and losers. Where will the real estate opportunities…

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Rates

Will the golden handcuffs of low rates save real estate in this cycle?

  • November 14, 2022

The prevailing theory is that this real estate cycle will be considerably better than others as so many people locked in rock bottom rates which will serve as “golden handcuffs” and prevent a meaningful increase in inventory.  How accurate is…

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Prices fall 6%, closings slip to lowest since 2015, what does this mean for the rest of 22 and 23?

  • October 3, 2022

  Home values slipped for the second consecutive month as mortgage costs continue to sideline buyers.  From June through August, prices usually decline about 2%, but this year they have fallen about 6%.  At the same time, mortgage rates hit…

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Do the bears foretell a crash or a minor correction?

  • August 22, 2022

When I looked over my shoulder and saw these two fellows staring at me, it made me wonder if they were trying to tell me something.  I definitely got the hint!  I don’t think anyone would debate that real estate…

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Haircut prices surge, what does this mean for real estate prices?

  • August 8, 2022

If you haven’t gotten a haircut in a while, you are in for a surprise.  Haircut prices like many other services in the economy are experiencing large increases.  What does the increase in haircut prices mean for the economy and…

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Fed raises rates, mortgage rates drop, stocks jump, technical recession, what happens now    

  • August 1, 2022

What a week it has been in the economy.  The federal reserve is still struggling to contain inflation and as a result increased the fed funds rate .75%.  After the announcement stocks roared back in a huge “relief” rally and…

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This chart should scare you; is the mortgage market in for a 2008 wreck; average down not even close to 20%

  • July 18, 2022

The federal government in their quest to shore up the mortgage market in 2008 has created some new risks to the housing market.  Non bank lenders now make up 74% of the origination volume with only 3 banks even making…

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Rates cross 6%, what can the 90s tell us about the next real estate cycle?

  • June 27, 2022

Most economists are convinced that there will be a recession soon, although nobody knows whether it is 3,6 or 12 months away.  The good news is that this recession should not be a repeat of 2008.  Which prior  cycle will…

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