First, Happy Thanksgiving. I hope everyone has a great holiday season. As you sit around the table this year, there is plenty to talk about and debate (including this blog ). Check out the screenshot above of the headlines on Bloomberg. Depending on which headline...
Big changes in property rights from the election- what city made 100m from the election?
Although all eyes and media coverage was on the supposed “blue wave” on election day, the real story are the huge changes in property rights throughout the Country. Did Nantucket vote to continue an effective ban on nightly rentals? Did Vail pass a 17% tax on...
Foreclosures spike:Fairview interview Mortgage Professional America
I recently did an interview with Mortgage Professional America. Below is an excerpt and a link to the full interview. The stock market is strong, unemployment remains low, and rates have steadied—but none of that matters if consumers can’t pay their bills. That’s the...
What happens to the economy one year from now? Is there an upside surprise?
Last week in my blog, Heavy trucks signal a recession, I asked all of you what happens to the economy one year from now? I was floored by the response. The real estate pros have spoken and as you can see from the chart above, the majority (39%) think...
Heavy trucks signal recession my data says the opposite
Look at the chart above, there is a direct correlation between heavy truck sales and GDP growth which is one of the best indicators for the health of the economy. As you can see heavy truck sales plummeted, which points to a recession. On the flip...
Should states cap property tax growth?
Last week I asked all of you should states cap property taxes like Georgia based on inflation? The real estate pros have spoken and as you can see from the chart above, the majority (76%) think that states should cap taxes based on inflation...
American’s staged a property tax revolt, GA led the way
Voters in eight U.S. states passed measures in the last election to offer some form of relief on property taxes, a sign of their mounting frustration with tax bills that have soared alongside huge jumps in home values. Many states will have property tax...
Mortgage rates one year from now
Last week I asked all of you what will mortgage be one year from now? The real estate pros have spoken and as you can see from the chart above, the majority (50%) think that mortgage rates will be 5.5 -6% while the second largest percentage put rates in...
Fed drops rates, why did mortgage rates barely budge
The federal reserve lowers interest rates and signals two more reductions the remainder of the year. At the same time mortgage rates are barely moving. Why are mortgage rates having such a large disconnect with the Federal Reserve. Will rates continue...
Airbnb just quietly changed the rules and the impacts are huge
Starting Sept 8th, Airbnb has radically altered the payment terms for all hosts. What was in the little change with huge impacts? How does this impact every property owner? Will it still be profitable for owners to use Airbnb? What are the three changes and what...
NY nightly rentals plummet 90%, rents skyrocket
In every nightly rental discussion throughout the country, there is this theory that nightly rentals are increasing rents and pricing out locals. How true is this statement? What happened in NY when nightly rental were severely restricted? What has happened in...
Will Buy now pay later derail real estate?
Last week I asked all of you what impact does Phantom Debt (like buy now pay later) have on the economy and real estate? The real estate pros have spoken and as you can see from the chart above, the majority (58%) think that phantom debt is increasing credit scores...
Phantom debt soars, what does this mean for real estate? (2025 update)
Consumer spending in the world’s largest economy has been so resilient in the face of stubbornly high inflation that economists and traders have had to repeatedly rip up their forecasts for slowing growth and interest-rate cuts. How are consumers still spending...
What will cause foreclosures to increase? Chicken or the egg?
Last week I asked all of you What will cause foreclosures to increase over the next 18 months? As you can see from the chart above, the majority felt that unemployment would be the culprit, which leads us to the chicken vs egg question. What will be the trigger?...
Foreclosures on the rise, is this a blip or trend?
With fluctuating mortgage rates and economic pressure in the housing market, foreclosure activity Has continues to ramp up throughout the year. According to real estate data provider Attom, homebuyers may face more challenges heading into 2025. Why are foreclosure...
Porsche resale value drops 50%, what does this mean for real estate
I saw a recent ad for a Porsche electric Taycan that was less than 18 months old available for half of its original cost. What can this huge drop in prices over a short time tell us about an impending real estate problem? Why am I even looking at Porsche...
Stagflation or falling prices most likely for housing market
Last week I asked all of you how do house prices and incomes come back into historical alignment? As you can see from the chart above, the responses were not very clear cut but the consensus is that real estate is likely “stuck” for some time. How do house...
Should you ignore national real estate statistics; 52% say yes
In my survey last week I asked if you should ignore national real estate statistics as they are not relevant to your particular neighborhood. It was not surprising it was almost evenly split on whether you should ignore National statistics (52% ignore national...
House prices hit another record, should you even care?
Check out the chart above. House prices this summer have hit yet another record? On the flip side, look at the chart below of Denver and Atlanta. Why the huge difference? What is happening in today’s real estate environment? Is the data above or below...
67% believe firing of fed governor will end badly
Wow, I was very surprised at the survey results of the fed firing. 67% of respondents think that the firing of Cook at the fed is going to end up badly while 23% think that something very bad will happen from the firing. If survey respondents are correct, what does...
President fires Federal Reserve Governor mortgage rates rise
What an insane 24 hours, a late night tweet on Tuesday announced the sudden firing of a Federal Reserve Governor essentially trying to eliminate the independence of the federal reserve while ensuring looser monetary policy. Ironically the opposite occurred and...
Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest buyers of mortgages, effective immediately are required to count cryptocurrencies as an asset for mortgages. This is a profound shift in policy. How will this impact real estate lending? Will Cryptocurrency radically alter...
90% predict prices will fall. How much?
In my last blog post, Will real estate fall to 2020 values, I launched my first survey to see what the readers of my blog thought about the direction of the real estate market, the results were astounding. There was a clear consensus of where real estate prices are...
Will real estate fall to 2020 values?
The real estate market has drastically shifted. Look at the chart above, sellers are rapidly outpacing buyers which means only one thing; the law of economics will rule, and prices will fall. What is causing prices to fall now in many markets, and will this...



























