Last week I asked all of you what happens to the economy over the next two years ? The real estate pros have spoken and I was a bit surprised by the answers. There was no clear winner on where the economy heads from here. What was the key rationale behind the predictions.
No Clear winner in the economy
I was a bit surprised that there would not be a standout winner in the survey. The majority, 24% felt the economy would continue growing modestly. While 22% felt it stayed the same. On the flip side 20% saw a modest decline while 18% felt there could be a huge decline.
What this tells me is that where we are at in the economy is precarious, based on tons of different factors and how they interplay the economy could have polar opposite outcomes.
Summary of the rationale behind economic predictions
I used an AI tool to summarize all the comments. It gave a pretty good summary of everyone’s rationale:
The user feedback on the expected state of the economy over the next two years showcases a wide spectrum of opinions, highlighting a blend of optimism, skepticism, and concerns regarding various factors influencing economic conditions. Many respondents pointed to the current economic instability, expressing fears of a downturn prompted by high levels of government and private sector leverage, stock market volatility, and the impacts of inflation and stagflation. Common sentiments include a belief that the economy is nearing a potential “reset,” along with expectations of major shifts spurred by political developments and advancements in technology, particularly AI, which some believe could threaten job security. On the optimistic side, several participants maintained a hopeful outlook, indicating that despite challenges, investments and ongoing governmental policies may lead to positive economic effects over time, coupled with expectations of consumer resilience. Notably, some respondents mentioned incipient changes tied to reindustrialization efforts and sustained spending despite uncertainties and pressures. Overall, while a majority expressed concern about underlying vulnerabilities and the potential for crises in consumer confidence and job markets, there remained a contingent of hopeful thinkers who focus on potential growth catalyzed by current events and favorable economic policies.
Key insights on where the economy goes over the next two years
Thank you everyone for your participation and insights in my survey. The insight in the comments from readers was amazing and I hope everyone gained a good perspective from your fellow readers. My key takeaway from this survey is that where we are at in the economy is precarious, based on tons of different factors and how they interplay the economy could have polar opposite outcomes.
Unfortunately it seems nobody really knows where the economy heads from here which could lead to a basically stuck economy where we stay the same for quite a while. On the flip side there are good probabilities for a major reset or a big increase in the economy. We will have to wait for better data to see how it all shakes out. Thanks again and stay tuned for upcoming surveys 😊
Additional Reading/Resources:
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/has-the-economy-lost-its-mind/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/will-mortgage-rates-fall-in-2026/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/where-should-you-invest-in-real-estate-in-2026/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/fed-drops-rates-why-did-mortgage-rates-barely-budge/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/phantom-debt-soars-what-does-this-mean-for-real-estate-2/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/never-buy-a-residential-condo/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/the-war-on-landlords/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/house-prices-hit-another-record-should-you-even-care/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/root-cause-of-real-estate-price-declines/
- https://www.fairviewlending.com/will-real-estate-fall-to-2020-values/
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Glen Weinberg personally writes these weekly real estate blogs based on his real estate experience as a lender and property owner. I’m not an armchair reporter/writer. We are an actual private lender, lending our own money. We service our own loans and own commercial and residential real estate throughout the country.
My day job is and continues to be private real estate lending/ hard money lending which enables me to have a unique perspective on the market. I don’t accept any paid sponsorships or ads on my blog to ensure accurate information. I’ve been writing this for almost 20 years and have over 30k subscribers. Please like and share my blogs on linkedin, twitter, facebook, and other social media and forward to your friends 😊. I would greatly appreciate it.
Fairview is a hard money lender specializing in private money loans / non-bank real estate loans in Georgia, Colorado, and Florida. We are recognized in the industry as the leader in hard money lending/ Private Lending with no upfront fees or any other games. We fund our own loans and provide honest answers quickly. Learn more about Hard Money Lending through our free Hard Money Guide. To get started on a loan all we need is our simple one page application (no upfront fees or other games).
Written by Glen Weinberg, COO/ VP Fairview Commercial Lending. Glen has been published as an expert in hard money lending, real estate valuation, financing, and various other real estate topics in Bloomberg, Businessweek ,the Colorado Real Estate Journal, National Association of Realtors Magazine, The Real Deal real estate news, the CO Biz Magazine, The Denver Post, The Scotsman mortgage broker guide, Mortgage Professional America and various other national publications.
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