Your taxes will increase $775 Billion dollars according to an analysis by Bloomberg. President Biden has rolled out his proposed tax plan with three major pillars that will impact real estate pros. 1) Elimination of the 1031 exchange provision (or such a low cap...
Commercial Lending valuation
Inflation jumps to highest levels since 1982
Inflation alert: It is usually not a good sign when Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said after the consumer price index report “I was surprised”. I am not sure what rock people are living under, but everything has increased in price from gasoline to restaurant...
Long term capital gains, 43.4%, impact on real estate & 1031 exchange
President Biden has proposed an increase in long term capital gains from their current 15-20% to 43% for the wealthiest. This would be the highest tax paid on income. What is in the new proposal? What does this proposal mean for real estate? How will the 1031...
New Proposed tax plan will hit property owners and cost you millions.
I am always amazed at how out of touch our elected officials are with what happens in the real world. The new tax plan circulating through Congress is no exception with the supposed target high net worth taxpayers, but middle class, small business...
Danes get 20 year mortgages at 0% what does this mean for the US market?
Denmark, the country with the longest history of negative central bank rates is offering homeowners 20-year loans at a fixed interest rate of zero. This is very similar to the zero percent financing on cars in the US except you are buying a house. What does this...
Commercial just getting started, 48% drop in value
It is ironic in 2007 and 2008, I was asked by our accountant to value properties and loans on our books due to the last cycle. I told her I had no clue, there were too many unknowns. Commercial real estate is starting the same cycle that residential real estate saw...
Ban on evictions and foreclosures for a year, impact on real estate
New eviction laws that Democratic lawmakers recently passed would prevent landlords from filing evictions for nonpayment for a full year after the bill is passed. It would further prohibit foreclosures over nonpayment over the same period and enact automatic...
The office is going away, Amazon bets you are wrong, 3 changes to office real estate
As I was working from home the other day on the deck, my dogs started barking and I look over my shoulder to see this guy staring at me… I’m looking forward to getting back to the office 😊 Most companies have now realized that they can work as...
Cap rates sky rocket, who are the winners and losers in commercial real estate?
Commercial property values were recently hitting peaks with investors rushing to invest in high quality commercial real estate as yields on other assets like treasuries continued to languish. Now the tides have turned with some high quality commercial property now...
Nike sales plunge 40%, Microsoft closing all their stores, What about real estate? Who will win?
Nike is a bellwether for the retail industry and general economy generating over 40 billion in annual revenue making it one of the largest athletic retailers in the world. Since 2006 revenue has consistently increased every year. In June, Nike announced that sales...
Actual vs perceived risk, how does this impact real estate?
I'm doing my part for social distancing! As I’m working from home, I looked out the window and noticed a lone biker weaving while riding down the road. They suddenly came inches away from hitting a parked car. Were they drunk? No, they were wearing a mask and their...
Did the fed accidentally trigger a housing market crash?
I hope everyone is doing well in light of the recent events. I was recently asked: “Did the Federal Reserve trigger a housing market crash?” What happened? The Coronavirus struck, the fed had to act swiftly to mitigate the damage, but by flooding the market with...
2020 summer Olympics moved; impact on US real estate, 153 Billion lost?
We are still funding in cash! The 2020 summer Olympics in Tokyo have officially been rescheduled to 2021. As the world copes with the Coronavirus pandemic, cities and countries around the world have shut borders and ordered stay at home orders to stop the spread of...
Labor market strong. Markets drop 20 % in a week.
With the labor market looking up, we decided to "hire" a new employee, Luna. She will be working out of our Colorado office and focusing on property inspections (and anything that has to do with snow). Please welcome her to the team 🙂 The Labor Department...
Recession Predictions and Real Estate: Are We Already at the Peak?
At first glance, 2020 looked like smooth sailing. But the National Association of Business Economists (NABE)—a respected body whose past presidents include Alan Greenspan—recently released their latest economic outlook, placing the odds of a recession in the next 18...
Federal Funds rate drops again creates a “floor” for real estate
The Federal reserve dropped the federal funds rate again which wasn’t a big surprise as the market was pricing in a 96% probability of a rate cut. This is the third cut this year effectively creating a “floor” under real estate. How did the federal reserve create a...
Cannabis Banking Bill on the horizon, Real Estate Values Drop 50%
The House of Representatives passed a cannabis banking bill with bipartisan support that would allow banks to provide services to Cannabis companies where it is legal. What was in the bill? How will this impact real estate throughout the country? Before you pop the...
What do Atlanta and Denver real estate have in common? How can you predict the next “superstar” city
It is interesting to watch the release of indexes like the Case Schiller on a regular basis. Many of the same cities continue to pop up like Atlanta and Denver. Why? What continues to drive markets like Atlanta and Denver? Can you predict what cities will show up...
Markets tumble: 3 lender tips to determine the most “recession proof” properties
With recession talks all over the headlines and stock markets tumbling around the globe are you ready whenever the next real estate cycle occurs? Do you know the mushroom theory and how it can help you plan for the next cycle? I developed this theory after...
California clean air waiver revoked by Trump, impact on real estate in 33 states?
President Trump announced the revocation of the California clean air waiver act. Regardless of where you sit on this particular issue, the impacts will be profound on States rights, on real estate and one industry in particular. Why are 33 states impacted? Which...
Real Estate predictions for 2019. Home sales drop for record 14th month.
We keep hearing that the spring real estate season is just around the corner, yet the April housing numbers came out showing a 4.4% decline from 2018 and continuing a downward trend of declining sales for the 14th straight month. What is driving this trend? What are...
We avoided a recession. Impact on real estate. Are we out of the woods?
We are well into 2019 and recession risks seems to have faded into the rear view mirror. Is this a facade? Are we out of the woods yet? What changed? The biggest wildcard going into 2019 was the pace and number of increases from the federal reserve. What has...
Recession Guaranteed! Yield curve inverts! Should you follow Bambi out the door?
The Yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007! What does this mean and why is this so important for real estate? Can the animals predict our next “storm”? Should we all be listening to our “primal” instincts a bit more? We probably should. I was doing a...
Home sales decline to 4 year low, Nat Realtor Assoc predicts prices up. Confused?
Contract signings to purchase previously-owned U.S. homes unexpectedly fell by the most since January, reaching the lowest level since mid-2014 amid mounting evidence that the housing market is struggling. New homes sales also tumbled 8.9% in October. On the...





















