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real estate recession

66% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

66% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

  • February 11, 2020
  • Commercial Lending valuation

Looks like we should have smooth sailing in 2020, but the National Association of Business economists (NABE), the premier professional association for business economists counting Alan Greenspan as their past president, just released their business outlook predictions placing the odds…

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72% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

72% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

  • August 20, 2019
  • Real Estate economic trends

The National Association of Business economists (NABE), the premier professional association for business economists counting Alan Greenspan as their past president, just released their business outlook predictions placing the odds of a recession in the next two years at 72%. …

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We avoided a recession.  Impact on real estate.  Are we out of the woods?

We avoided a recession. Impact on real estate. Are we out of the woods?

  • April 25, 2019
  • commercial hard money

We are well into 2019 and recession risks seems to have faded into the rear view mirror.  Is this a facade? Are we out of the woods yet?  What changed?  The biggest wildcard going into 2019 was the pace and…

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Recession Guaranteed!  Yield curve inverts! Should you follow Bambi out the door? 

Recession Guaranteed!  Yield curve inverts! Should you follow Bambi out the door? 

  • March 22, 2019
  • Commercial Lending valuation

The Yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007!  What does this mean and why is this so important for real estate?  Can the animals predict our next “storm”?  Should we all be listening to our “primal” instincts a…

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Ready to go upside down?  4 vs 3; impact on real estate

Ready to go upside down? 4 vs 3; impact on real estate

  • June 14, 2018
  • Commercial Lending in the news

The economy is in for a bit of a ride!  The federal reserve in their last meeting changed their tone signaling two more rate increases this year as opposed to one bringing the total rate increase to four.  Why is…

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There is 69.2% chance of recession.  Should you follow Bambi?

There is 69.2% chance of recession. Should you follow Bambi?

  • October 18, 2017
  • Commercial Lending valuation

Can the animals predict our next “storm”?  Should we all be listening to our “primal” instincts a bit more?  We probably should.  I was doing a long trail run last week in the Colorado backcountry outside of Steamboat Springs, Colorado. …

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Will we drive into the next recession? How will this impact real estate?

Will we drive into the next recession? How will this impact real estate?

  • July 7, 2017
  • Hard Money in the News

Ready to start your engines for the summer driving season?  Will our cars lead us into the next recession?  Although auto sales declined substantially this year, the real story is that the subprime bubble in auto lending is now showing…

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