Hard Money Blog

67% believe firing of fed governor will end badly

67% believe firing of fed governor will end badly

Wow, I was very surprised at the survey results of the fed firing.  67% of respondents think that the firing of Cook at the fed is going to end up badly while 23% think that something very bad will happen from the firing.  If survey respondents are correct, what does...

read more
95% feel that regulations have increased rental rates

95% feel that regulations have increased rental rates

There was clearly a distinct trend in last week’s survey regarding the war on landlords with some very passionate responses.  An overwhelming 95% felt that regulations have substantially increased to costs of being a landlord which in turn has increased the costs for...

read more
The War on Landlords

The War on Landlords

Since Covid, Landlords have been portrayed as the big bad wolf and the root cause of pretty much any housing woe you can think of.  Legislatures have jumped on the bandwagon essentially declaring war on landlords with the number of tenant laws doubling in three...

read more
No crypto in mortgages, but are they right?

No crypto in mortgages, but are they right?

      In my last blog post, Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies.  There was a clear consensus of whether the government should or should not be embracing crypto.  But the responses were thought provoking and the results were not as...

read more
Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies

Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest buyers of mortgages, effective immediately are required to count cryptocurrencies as an asset for mortgages.  This is a profound shift in policy.  How will this impact real estate lending?  Will Cryptocurrency radically alter...

read more
90% predict prices will fall. How much?

90% predict prices will fall. How much?

In my last blog post, Will real estate fall to 2020 values, I launched my first survey to see what the readers of my blog thought about the direction of the real estate market, the results were astounding.  There was a clear consensus of where real estate prices are...

read more
Will real estate fall to 2020 values?

Will real estate fall to 2020 values?

The real estate market has drastically shifted.  Look at the chart above, sellers are rapidly outpacing buyers which means only one thing; the law of economics will rule, and prices will fall.  What is causing prices to fall now in many markets, and will this...

read more
Real estate falls, 4 property types that will outperform

Real estate falls, 4 property types that will outperform

There is a ton of negative news in real estate.  Interest rates are remaining high, inventory is rising substantially, prices are coming off their peaks, commercial real estate is facing a reckoning, and the list goes on.  Regardless of all the negative news, where...

read more
Will the herd drive real estate prices

Will the herd drive real estate prices

  Over the last several years, I’ve given various statistics from inventory, absorption rates, closings, consumer confidence, mortgage rates, etc… to provide guidance on where the real estate market is heading.  Unfortunately there is one variable that I am now...

read more
Is real estate “stuck” until 2026?

Is real estate “stuck” until 2026?

  "The U.S. housing market is stuck, and we are not convinced it will become unstuck anytime soon," Bank of America economists Michael Gapen and Jeseo Park wrote in the Monday note.  What is causing the real estate market to be stuck? Is being stuck actually the...

read more
What does the big beautiful tax bill mean for real estate?

What does the big beautiful tax bill mean for real estate?

With the recent passage of president Trump's tax bill, what impact does this have on real estate and mortgage rates.  Look at the chart above, why did interest rates rise when the tax bill was passed? Who are the winners and losers?  What does this bill mean for the...

read more
Walmart Raises Prices, what happens to mortgage rates

Walmart Raises Prices, what happens to mortgage rates

      Various trade publications continue to predict a decline in mortgage rates the second half of the year, yet at the same time Walmart, Ford, and others have announced big price hikes coming down the pipeline.  What does this mean for the economy,...

read more
Are home prices really rising or did they already fall 10%

Are home prices really rising or did they already fall 10%

  It is interesting that inventory is increasing, demand is declining, and yet home prices are staying relatively stable and or increasing based on the latest data from the National Association of Realtors.  How accurate is this data?  What alternative metric...

read more
2025 National Real Estate predictions, what happens now?

2025 National Real Estate predictions, what happens now?

    2025 was set to be the big recovery in real estate with rates lowering setting us up for a great year.  Instead, rates are hovering around 7%, inventory is rising, and long term treasuries are pointing to higher rates for longer.  There is also a trade...

read more
Can the government “take” you property for unpaid taxes

Can the government “take” you property for unpaid taxes

  Over the last 100 years or so counties have operated under the assumption that if property taxes (or in some cases water/sewer, etc…) are not paid then the county can “take” the property for the unpaid taxes.  A recent supreme court ruling radically alters this...

read more
Secret mortgage blacklist, is your property on it?

Secret mortgage blacklist, is your property on it?

Condominium owners across the country are facing a paralyzing problem: They can’t sell their properties because of a fast-growing and mostly secret mortgage blacklist.  Don’t worry this is not some crazy conspiracy from the government.  I’ve experienced this first...

read more
Why are mortgage rates rising when they should be falling?

Why are mortgage rates rising when they should be falling?

The chart above is very surprising.  When the market is predicting a slowdown or a recession, gold typically rises and treasuries also rise, typically in tandem.  The exact opposite is happening now as bond prices are falling and yields are rapidly increasing in the...

read more

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67% believe firing of fed governor will end badly

67% believe firing of fed governor will end badly

Wow, I was very surprised at the survey results of the fed firing.  67% of respondents think that the firing of Cook at the fed is going to end up badly while 23% think that something very bad will happen from the firing.  If survey respondents are correct, what does...

read more
95% feel that regulations have increased rental rates

95% feel that regulations have increased rental rates

There was clearly a distinct trend in last week’s survey regarding the war on landlords with some very passionate responses.  An overwhelming 95% felt that regulations have substantially increased to costs of being a landlord which in turn has increased the costs for...

read more
The War on Landlords

The War on Landlords

Since Covid, Landlords have been portrayed as the big bad wolf and the root cause of pretty much any housing woe you can think of.  Legislatures have jumped on the bandwagon essentially declaring war on landlords with the number of tenant laws doubling in three...

read more
No crypto in mortgages, but are they right?

No crypto in mortgages, but are they right?

      In my last blog post, Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies.  There was a clear consensus of whether the government should or should not be embracing crypto.  But the responses were thought provoking and the results were not as...

read more
Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies

Largest mortgage buyers required to use cryptocurrencies

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the largest buyers of mortgages, effective immediately are required to count cryptocurrencies as an asset for mortgages.  This is a profound shift in policy.  How will this impact real estate lending?  Will Cryptocurrency radically alter...

read more
90% predict prices will fall. How much?

90% predict prices will fall. How much?

In my last blog post, Will real estate fall to 2020 values, I launched my first survey to see what the readers of my blog thought about the direction of the real estate market, the results were astounding.  There was a clear consensus of where real estate prices are...

read more
Will real estate fall to 2020 values?

Will real estate fall to 2020 values?

The real estate market has drastically shifted.  Look at the chart above, sellers are rapidly outpacing buyers which means only one thing; the law of economics will rule, and prices will fall.  What is causing prices to fall now in many markets, and will this...

read more
Real estate falls, 4 property types that will outperform

Real estate falls, 4 property types that will outperform

There is a ton of negative news in real estate.  Interest rates are remaining high, inventory is rising substantially, prices are coming off their peaks, commercial real estate is facing a reckoning, and the list goes on.  Regardless of all the negative news, where...

read more
Will the herd drive real estate prices

Will the herd drive real estate prices

  Over the last several years, I’ve given various statistics from inventory, absorption rates, closings, consumer confidence, mortgage rates, etc… to provide guidance on where the real estate market is heading.  Unfortunately there is one variable that I am now...

read more
Is real estate “stuck” until 2026?

Is real estate “stuck” until 2026?

  "The U.S. housing market is stuck, and we are not convinced it will become unstuck anytime soon," Bank of America economists Michael Gapen and Jeseo Park wrote in the Monday note.  What is causing the real estate market to be stuck? Is being stuck actually the...

read more
What does the big beautiful tax bill mean for real estate?

What does the big beautiful tax bill mean for real estate?

With the recent passage of president Trump's tax bill, what impact does this have on real estate and mortgage rates.  Look at the chart above, why did interest rates rise when the tax bill was passed? Who are the winners and losers?  What does this bill mean for the...

read more
Walmart Raises Prices, what happens to mortgage rates

Walmart Raises Prices, what happens to mortgage rates

      Various trade publications continue to predict a decline in mortgage rates the second half of the year, yet at the same time Walmart, Ford, and others have announced big price hikes coming down the pipeline.  What does this mean for the economy,...

read more
Are home prices really rising or did they already fall 10%

Are home prices really rising or did they already fall 10%

  It is interesting that inventory is increasing, demand is declining, and yet home prices are staying relatively stable and or increasing based on the latest data from the National Association of Realtors.  How accurate is this data?  What alternative metric...

read more
2025 National Real Estate predictions, what happens now?

2025 National Real Estate predictions, what happens now?

    2025 was set to be the big recovery in real estate with rates lowering setting us up for a great year.  Instead, rates are hovering around 7%, inventory is rising, and long term treasuries are pointing to higher rates for longer.  There is also a trade...

read more
Can the government “take” you property for unpaid taxes

Can the government “take” you property for unpaid taxes

  Over the last 100 years or so counties have operated under the assumption that if property taxes (or in some cases water/sewer, etc…) are not paid then the county can “take” the property for the unpaid taxes.  A recent supreme court ruling radically alters this...

read more
Secret mortgage blacklist, is your property on it?

Secret mortgage blacklist, is your property on it?

Condominium owners across the country are facing a paralyzing problem: They can’t sell their properties because of a fast-growing and mostly secret mortgage blacklist.  Don’t worry this is not some crazy conspiracy from the government.  I’ve experienced this first...

read more
Why are mortgage rates rising when they should be falling?

Why are mortgage rates rising when they should be falling?

The chart above is very surprising.  When the market is predicting a slowdown or a recession, gold typically rises and treasuries also rise, typically in tandem.  The exact opposite is happening now as bond prices are falling and yields are rapidly increasing in the...

read more

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