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Mortgage defaults high in the 10 cities; how does your city rank?

Mortgage defaults high in the 10 cities; how does your city rank?

  • July 29, 2020
  • Real Estate economic trends

  Do you know where the next mortgage defaults will occur in your city?  What cities and zip codes are most at risk during this recession?  In every recession, there are two predictors of default/loss, collateral and equity.  What does…

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Forbearance drives house prices up; no impact on “credit score”, but can’t get credit?

Forbearance drives house prices up; no impact on “credit score”, but can’t get credit?

  • July 15, 2020
  • Housing Price Trends / Information

From March 1 through the end of May, Americans deferred debt payments on more than 100 million accounts, according to credit-reporting firm TransUnion, a sign of widespread financial distress.  Millions are out of work, yet house prices are increasing in…

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V-shaped recovery? 106 million people say No.

V-shaped recovery? 106 million people say No.

  • June 24, 2020
  • interest rates

The stock market has been pricing in a fast and rapid V-shaped recovery, yet 106 million people and various businesses like United Airlines are painting a radically different picture.  As Alan Greenspan, the former fed chief, famously said: markets can…

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NY Bans real estate fees: residents leave, will your state/city be a winner?

NY Bans real estate fees: residents leave, will your state/city be a winner?

  • June 3, 2020
  • Real Estate economic trends

NY city is changing the real estate game implementing a ban on the NYC rental broker fee and making a host of other changes.  At the same time New York leads all U.S. metro areas as the largest net loser…

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Mortgage rates drop, then rise; what should you do?

Mortgage rates drop, then rise; what should you do?

  • March 24, 2020
  • Coronavirus 2020 real estate impact

  We are still lending as we fund and hold our loans in cash!  If you have been watching the mortgage market, your head is likely spinning.  Last week, a mortgage rates drop for 30-year fixed mortgages hit a record…

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66% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

66% probability of recession in 18 months or less, impact on real estate

  • February 11, 2020
  • Commercial Lending valuation

Looks like we should have smooth sailing in 2020, but the National Association of Business economists (NABE), the premier professional association for business economists counting Alan Greenspan as their past president, just released their business outlook predictions placing the odds…

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Federal Funds rate drops again creates a “floor” for real estate

Federal Funds rate drops again creates a “floor” for real estate

  • November 4, 2019
  • Commercial Lending valuation

The Federal reserve dropped the federal funds rate again which wasn’t a big surprise as the market was pricing in a 96% probability of a rate cut.  This is the third cut this year effectively creating a “floor” under real…

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Economic Indicators show fed will cut rates again, impact on real estate

Economic Indicators show fed will cut rates again, impact on real estate

  • October 18, 2019
  • Real Estate economic trends

In September, Toyota’s year over year auto sales plummeted 16.5%, Honda down 14%, and Nissan down almost 18%.  The severity of the slide stokes fears that a long-anticipated car sales collapse may be arriving.  Why should you care about Autos…

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New California law eliminates real estate agents

New California law eliminates real estate agents

  • September 17, 2019
  • Real Estate economic trends

  California recently passed a bill (AB5) to target “gig workers” like Lyft and Uber drivers to ensure they are classified as full time employees as opposed to contract workers but there will be other side effects. This law will…

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China trade war making your mortgage cheaper, stocks plunge, impact on real estate

China trade war making your mortgage cheaper, stocks plunge, impact on real estate

  • August 6, 2019
  • General real estate financing information

Recently the news has been overwhelming on the China trade war.  Last week there was a trade meeting surrounded by fanfare, then there were the tweets from the president announcing more tariffs.   The US markets plunged losing 2% in one…

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    Recent Posts
    • Mortgage Firms Warned to Prepare for a ‘Tidal Wave’ of Distress
    • New Proposed tax plan will hit property owners and cost you millions.
    • Alcohol sales decline for first time since pandemic, Huge impact on real estate, the pandemic trade is over
    • Unintended consequence of Forbearance/Eviction moratoriums Wall street the new landlord
    • 10 year treasury soars, mortgage payments could rise 33%,  How high will rates go?

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