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Zillow

Zillow stock plunges: impact on real estate

    Zillow’s stock has plunged, losing 65% of its value over the last 5 years.  To put this in perspective, the Nasdaq 100 has doubled during this same period.  Why is Zillow, who was once an internet darling, now falling precipitously?  What does this mean...

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stagflation

Is Stagflation dead, what happens now

    There has been considerable talk about stagflation now mirroring the 70s with high energy prices and low growth.  Recently, all the data seemed to be pointing in this direction other than one metric.  The economy keeps growing exceeding pretty much every...

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Real Estate

2026 real estate predictions, what happens now?

    2026 was set to be the big recovery in real estate with rates lowering, setting us up for a great year.  Instead, the Iran war kicked off driving energy prices and in turn inflation up.  The rate narrative has made a U-turn with the question of when to...

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Real Estate

When will real estate crash or will it?

  Look at the chart above of consumer delinquencies?  We are now in line with 2017, but is that the real story?  Look at 07 what do you notice?  Will the economy mirror the 08 reset or has something else fundamentally changed?  With the current delinquency rates...

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What does the  Iran war mean for real estate?

What does the  Iran war mean for real estate?

I was a bit surprised at the market reaction, check out the 10 year treasury (above) on the Monday after the war began. I would have predicted the opposite reaction with yields falling.  What are the three primary reasons rates are now rising? What impact does this...

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Bitcoin

Bitcoin plunge impact on real estate and economy

Bitcoin has had a wild ride, declining over 50% in over a month plummeting from a high of 120k to 60k.  Check out the chart above.  Why the sudden drop in cryptocurrencies? What does this mean for real estate prices?  Looking at the chart below, how will interest...

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Economy

Has the economy lost its mind

As I was walking on a snow covered trail, I found a blaze orange sweatshirt.  WTF, who loses something like this and doesn’t even notice?  It made me start thinking, has the person lost their mind?  Has the economy lost its mind? Look at three charts below: Gold,...

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House Prices

Trump bans investors pulls floor from house prices

  President Trump recently announced a new ban on large investors buying single family homes.  Ironically this bill is almost identical to what Biden/Harris had proposed a few years ago.  Why the interest in banning investors from purchasing single family homes? ...

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private property

Canada eliminates private property impacts US

Who would every imagine that British Columbia, Canada would eliminate private property rights costing property owners billions of dollars.  What was the bombshell ruling? Why is it almost impossible for anyone to buy or sell in Canada?   What does this mean for US...

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real estate

Where should you invest in real estate in 2026?

The pandemic turned the real estate market upside down with real estate values surging throughout the country.  With values rising everywhere, everyone seemed like a winner.  Unfortunately, the boom town days are coming to an end.  Real Estate fundamentals or lack...

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Mortgage defaults

How to increase mortgage defaults

  The Biden Administration took steps to enable less credit-worthy borrowers to qualify for mortgages to support the housing market. Now the Trump team is doing the same in the name of boosting home ownership and lowering costs for borrowers.  Why is the...

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subprime

Gov’t gives away trillions, yet subprime borrowers surge

  Does anyone else find it a bit ironic that the US government gave away 4.6 trillion including direct payments to individuals and yet the number of subprime borrowers has surpassed precovid levels.  Why are more borrowers now classified as subprime and what does...

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ski town

What is the best ski town investment

As everyone departs for the holiday season and many are hitting the slopes I wanted to share a survey I did of Colorado real estate experts on the best ski investments.  As you can see there were some surprises.  What huge changes occurred in Breckenridge and Vail to...

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Taylor Swift Tax

Taylor Swift tax on real estate coming to a city near you

A new push by states to tax the real estate of the wealthy is going nationwide with cities across the country looking at expensive second homes as the gold mine to solve all their social problems. What is the new “Taylor Swift Tax”? What are some of the new proposals...

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50-year mortgage

50 year mortgage: fundamental flaw in the media

There is a new proposal to develop a 50 year loan product to “turbocharge” the housing market and make it more affordable.  How realistic is this proposal?  What would a 50 year mortgage look like for consumers?  What is the fundamental flaw in the analysis by the...

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Recession

Heavy trucks signal recession my data says the opposite

    Look at the chart above, there is a direct correlation between heavy truck sales and GDP growth which is one of the best indicators for the health of the economy.  As you can see heavy truck sales plummeted, which points to a recession.  On the flip...

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Mortgage rates

Fed drops rates, why did mortgage rates barely budge

    The federal reserve lowers interest rates and signals two more reductions the remainder of the year.  At the same time mortgage rates are barely moving.  Why are mortgage rates having such a large disconnect with the Federal Reserve.  Will rates continue...

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